Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.027609 0.030293 0.032945 0.035760 0.038655 0.041542 0.044634
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.022185 0.026499 0.030881 0.035639 0.040635 0.045704 0.051217
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.018774 0.024186 0.029814 0.036034 0.042663 0.049472 0.056953
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015353 0.021466 0.027974 0.035296 0.043204 0.051410 0.060504
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.012989 0.019657 0.026918 0.035207 0.044259 0.053731 0.064295
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010825 0.017881 0.025745 0.034856 0.044909 0.055507 0.067395
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.008851 0.016156 0.024506 0.034327 0.045270 0.056888 0.069988
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.006654 0.013968 0.022611 0.032960 0.044626 0.057106 0.071259
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005919 0.013536 0.022713 0.033808 0.046389 0.059900 0.075267
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004877 0.012608 0.022169 0.033870 0.047234 0.061655 0.078111
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003550 0.011143 0.020900 0.033039 0.047034 0.062223 0.079627
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002742 0.010312 0.020359 0.033019 0.047714 0.063733 0.082140
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001708 0.009058 0.019356 0.032578 0.048078 0.065074 0.084682
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000896 0.007955 0.018519 0.032349 0.048719 0.066769 0.087673
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000426 0.007281 0.018196 0.032712 0.050019 0.069183 0.091437
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000007 0.006059 0.017036 0.031995 0.050028 0.070116 0.093535
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005277 0.016419 0.031909 0.050739 0.071810 0.096447
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004434 0.015633 0.031570 0.051122 0.073108 0.098892
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003585 0.014746 0.031058 0.051271 0.074114 0.100989
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002480 0.013284 0.029740 0.050418 0.073951 0.101752
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002341 0.013457 0.030559 0.052117 0.076689 0.105745
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001927 0.013075 0.030618 0.052883 0.078344 0.108510
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001264 0.012082 0.029817 0.052583 0.078755 0.109860